Compass Global Markets' Blog

Market Update - 22nd April 2020 - AUD In A Holding Pattern As Oil Price Get Crushed

Posted by Patrick Downes on April 22, 2020 at 9:07 AM

Please note that the commentary below is factual information provided to a group of readers as a web blog, and where an opinion is expressed by the author, it is GENERAL ADVICE only.

Oil Prices Go Negative:

Yes, you read that correctly. For a period this week WTI (U.S produced oil) had negative prices, meaning U.S oil producers were in fact paying oil traders to take their oil away. The reason for this? Covid19 and far less demand for oil products, along with oil storage around the country at full capacity meaning their is literally no where for the oil to go. The price of U.S oil has more recently stabilised just above zero, but it points to a real issue the U.S has with over production of oil.

What's The AUD Doing?

The AUD is holding up very well - AUD/USD is in a consolidation pattern between 0.6250 and 0.6400 however a break out one way or the other I think is likely in the coming weeks. Which way? I don't know. But if I had to bet on it'd be a move higher. AUD/EUR and AUD/GBP also holding nicely, while AUD/JPY remains in the doldrums around 67.00.

Local Employment Data Today:

Aussie employment data is due out at 11.30am this morning. The release is a an interim release of sorts to take into account the impacts of Covid19. There is no reliable forecast and none is given as such we could see a reasonably increased degree of AUD volatility around the release at 11.30am.

AUD EXCHANGE RATES:

AUD/USD – 0.6256

AUD/GBP – 0.5080

AUD/EUR – 0.5759

AUD/NZD – 1.0510

AUD/JPY – 67.461

OTHER MARKETS:

All Ords (XAO) – 5,278

Gold – A$2,684/oz

Silver –  A$23.72/oz

Crude Oil – US$13.77 barrel

DATA RELEASES TODAY:

AUD – Retail Sales m/m at 11.30am

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Patrick Downes

Senior Corporate FX Dealer

Phone Patrick - 0431 278 632 

  Email Patrick: patrick@compassmarkets.com

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The information provided in this report has been prepared without taking into account your particular objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider whether our products are appropriate for you and read the FSG and PDS which are available on this website.
This report and must not be copied, either in whole or in part, or distributed to any other person.
All references to prices, amounts and currency are in Australian dollars unless otherwise noted.
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